TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Duarte C Rego and Rocco Condeco in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duarte C Rego' if Duarte C Rego advances against Rocco Condeco. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Condeco' if Rocco Condeco advances against Duarte C Rego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Duarte C Rego and Rocco Condeco in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duarte C Rego' if Duarte C Rego advances against Rocco Condeco. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Condeco' if Rocco Condeco advances against Duarte C Rego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s pricing is solely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Duarte C Rego and Rocco Condeco, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related tournaments might also cause a reassessment of player form and potential outcomes. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 27, 2026.