TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Gaivoto and David De La Pezuela in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Gaivoto' if David Gaivoto advances against David De La Pezuela. This market will resolve to 'David De La Pezuela' if David De La Pezuela advances against David Gaivoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Gaivoto and David De La Pezuela in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Gaivoto' if David Gaivoto advances against David De La Pezuela. This market will resolve to 'David De La Pezuela' if David De La Pezuela advances against David Gaivoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. The market’s price is driven entirely by trader activity and their individual assessments of the Setubal tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Setubal tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will be determined according to standard tennis scoring rules, and that outcome will be used to settle this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Setubal tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Significant trading volume from informed traders could also signal a shift in expectations, potentially leading to larger price movements in this market.