TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Le Dur and Charlie Pycroft in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Le Dur' if Alexandre Le Dur advances against Charlie Pycroft. This market will resolve to 'Charlie Pycroft' if Charlie Pycroft advances against Alexandre Le Dur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Le Dur and Charlie Pycroft in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Le Dur' if Alexandre Le Dur advances against Charlie Pycroft. This market will resolve to 'Charlie Pycroft' if Charlie Pycroft advances against Alexandre Le Dur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Currently, the market indicates a strong expectation for one particular outcome, as evidenced by the trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Alexandre Le Dur and Charlie Pycroft. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create momentum and drive price movements, especially if they are perceived as based on inside information or sophisticated analysis. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis leading up to Sep 27, 2026.