TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuki Mochizuki and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Sapporo, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Mochizuki' if Yuki Mochizuki advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Yuki Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuki Mochizuki and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Sapporo, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Mochizuki' if Yuki Mochizuki advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Yuki Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in the M25 Sapporo fight.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sapporo fight as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered during the resolution process to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight commentary from analysts could all impact sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's conditions or the fighters' strategies could also lead to significant price movements. Public polls or expert predictions, while not directly influencing the market, can sometimes correlate with trading behavior. Any significant development related to the M25 Sapporo fight has the potential to move this market before Sep 17, 2026.