TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saki TANGE and Riku Nakamoto in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saki TANGE' if Saki TANGE advances against Riku Nakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Riku Nakamoto' if Riku Nakamoto advances against Saki TANGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saki TANGE and Riku Nakamoto in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saki TANGE' if Saki TANGE advances against Riku Nakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Riku Nakamoto' if Riku Nakamoto advances against Saki TANGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there's value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a competitor's chances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and informed speculators. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to participants.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sapporo M25 match between Saki Tange and Riku Nakamoto. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning competitor. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome, as determined by the official event results.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding the competitors’ recent performance, training updates, or potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader competitive landscape, or even shifts in public sentiment, might also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.