TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Riku Nakamoto and Kai-An Wu in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riku Nakamoto' if Riku Nakamoto advances against Kai-An Wu. This market will resolve to 'Kai-An Wu' if Kai-An Wu advances against Riku Nakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Riku Nakamoto and Kai-An Wu in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riku Nakamoto' if Riku Nakamoto advances against Kai-An Wu. This market will resolve to 'Kai-An Wu' if Kai-An Wu advances against Riku Nakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The current price indicates the market's assessment of each player's chances.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sapporo match between Riku Nakamoto and Kai-An Wu. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence (or lack thereof) could also move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and analyst predictions, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.