TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jerry Roddick and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Sapporo, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerry Roddick' if Jerry Roddick advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Jerry Roddick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jerry Roddick and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Sapporo, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerry Roddick' if Jerry Roddick advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Jerry Roddick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each type of market. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular result in the Roddick vs Ferguson match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roddick vs Ferguson match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the information against established sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from reputable sources could cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the Roddick vs Ferguson match approaches.