TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eito Hasegawa and Ryuichiro Nakano in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eito Hasegawa' if Eito Hasegawa advances against Ryuichiro Nakano. This market will resolve to 'Ryuichiro Nakano' if Ryuichiro Nakano advances against Eito Hasegawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eito Hasegawa and Ryuichiro Nakano in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eito Hasegawa' if Eito Hasegawa advances against Ryuichiro Nakano. This market will resolve to 'Ryuichiro Nakano' if Ryuichiro Nakano advances against Eito Hasegawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders participating in this market, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Hasegawa vs Nakano match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sapporo match between Eito Hasegawa and Ryuichiro Nakano. Specifically, the market will determine which competitor achieved victory in the match. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to verify the final result and determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.
Several signals could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Eito Hasegawa or Ryuichiro Nakano, such as injury reports or illness announcements, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on match scheduling or venue changes might introduce uncertainty and affect the market. Unexpected developments leading up to Sep 13, 2026 could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of shares.