TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh and Mao Takada in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh' if Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh advances against Mao Takada. This market will resolve to 'Mao Takada' if Mao Takada advances against Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh and Mao Takada in the M25 Sapporo, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh' if Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh advances against Mao Takada. This market will resolve to 'Mao Takada' if Mao Takada advances against Ashkan Ghorbanzadeh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the crowd believes is the most likely result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design encourages efficient price discovery, as traders are constantly updating their assessments based on new information and the actions of others.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sapporo fight, determining which fighter is declared the winner. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to verify the result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements from the event organizers to stay informed about the resolution process and timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the market. Furthermore, updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the event are likely to be closely watched by traders and could cause notable price movements in this market.