TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuele Seghetti and Flavio Bocci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Seghetti' if Samuele Seghetti advances against Flavio Bocci. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Bocci' if Flavio Bocci advances against Samuele Seghetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuele Seghetti and Flavio Bocci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Seghetti' if Samuele Seghetti advances against Flavio Bocci. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Bocci' if Flavio Bocci advances against Samuele Seghetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the participants. The current price reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Samuele Seghetti and Flavio Bocci. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player. The outcome will be determined by the official score reported by the event organizers, and the market will settle accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the willingness of traders to back their beliefs with capital.