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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
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Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 7:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikodije Trivunac and Federico Bove in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikodije Trivunac' if Nikodije Trivunac advances against Federico Bove. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bove' if Federico Bove advances against Nikodije Trivunac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikodije Trivunac and Federico Bove in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikodije Trivunac' if Nikodije Trivunac advances against Federico Bove. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bove' if Federico Bove advances against Nikodije Trivunac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. These differences can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing risk appetites. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in events where public perception deviates from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard, allowing you to assess the market's sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Nikodije Trivunac and Federico Bove. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on relevant information will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s dynamics.