TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicola Porcu and Pasquale De Giorgio in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Porcu' if Nicola Porcu advances against Pasquale De Giorgio. This market will resolve to 'Pasquale De Giorgio' if Pasquale De Giorgio advances against Nicola Porcu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicola Porcu and Pasquale De Giorgio in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Porcu' if Nicola Porcu advances against Pasquale De Giorgio. This market will resolve to 'Pasquale De Giorgio' if Pasquale De Giorgio advances against Nicola Porcu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant information is released or as public opinion shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's aggregate forecast for the Porcu vs De Giorgio match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Porcu vs De Giorgio match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Nicola Porcu or Pasquale De Giorgio, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as analysis from sports commentators, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, like changes in venue or rules, may also cause fluctuations in trading volume and price.