TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niccolo Dessi and Justin Lenders in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Dessi' if Niccolo Dessi advances against Justin Lenders. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Niccolo Dessi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niccolo Dessi and Justin Lenders in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Dessi' if Niccolo Dessi advances against Justin Lenders. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Niccolo Dessi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s aggregate forecast for the Dessi vs Lenders match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Niccolo Dessi and Justin Lenders. Any official announcements or results from the governing tennis authorities will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Dessi vs Lenders match could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or expert analysis, even without concrete evidence, can drive trading activity and cause the market price to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.