TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Mesaglio and Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Mesaglio' if Matteo Mesaglio advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Matteo Mesaglio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Mesaglio and Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Mesaglio' if Matteo Mesaglio advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Matteo Mesaglio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply different interpretations of the available data regarding the Mesaglio vs. Aleksandar match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match between Matteo Mesaglio and Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, potentially leading to substantial price fluctuations before the Mesaglio vs. Aleksandar match concludes.