TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Dessi and Cosimo Banti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Dessi' if Marco Dessi advances against Cosimo Banti. This market will resolve to 'Cosimo Banti' if Cosimo Banti advances against Marco Dessi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Dessi and Cosimo Banti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Dessi' if Marco Dessi advances against Cosimo Banti. This market will resolve to 'Cosimo Banti' if Cosimo Banti advances against Marco Dessi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a forward-looking assessment of the potential result of the Dessi vs Banti match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Marco Dessi and Cosimo Banti. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Marco Dessi or Cosimo Banti, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance or strategic adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location, or even significant media coverage focusing on one player's advantages, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the market’s price.