TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Rocco and Marco Dessi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Rocco' if Lorenzo Rocco advances against Marco Dessi. This market will resolve to 'Marco Dessi' if Marco Dessi advances against Lorenzo Rocco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Rocco and Marco Dessi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Rocco' if Lorenzo Rocco advances against Marco Dessi. This market will resolve to 'Marco Dessi' if Marco Dessi advances against Lorenzo Rocco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk and profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals betting on the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from expert analysis. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights, as prediction markets sometimes identify mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks may have overlooked. Examining these differences can help you refine your own assessment of the event’s potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures the market price efficiently incorporates new information and shifts in sentiment regarding the Lorenzo Rocco vs Marco Dessi match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lorenzo Rocco vs Marco Dessi match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official announcements as the event date approaches to stay informed about any potential changes.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of Lorenzo Rocco or Marco Dessi, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, recent performance data, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or public statements from either athlete or their teams could also shift the market. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.