TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Beraldo and Davide Vargiu in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Beraldo' if Lorenzo Beraldo advances against Davide Vargiu. This market will resolve to 'Davide Vargiu' if Davide Vargiu advances against Lorenzo Beraldo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Beraldo and Davide Vargiu in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Beraldo' if Lorenzo Beraldo advances against Davide Vargiu. This market will resolve to 'Davide Vargiu' if Davide Vargiu advances against Lorenzo Beraldo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, offering a forward-looking assessment of the Beraldo vs Vargiu match's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Lorenzo Beraldo and Davide Vargiu. The platform will rely on established sports results databases and reporting to determine the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Lorenzo Beraldo or Davide Vargiu could significantly impact the market. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or the release of expert analysis could sway traders' beliefs and alter the price of shares on Polymarket before the Sep 27, 2026 resolution.