TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 10:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giannicola Misasi and Gianmarco Ferrari in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Giannicola Misasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giannicola Misasi and Gianmarco Ferrari in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Giannicola Misasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result of the Misasi vs Ferrari match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Giannicola Misasi and Gianmarco Ferrari. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected upsets in other related matches or broader tournament results might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant bets from influential traders could create short-term price movements. Monitoring sports news, social media, and the trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts for market movement before Sep 29, 2026.