TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Eric Vanshelboim vs Valerio Bracci
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Eric Vanshelboim vs Valerio Bracci - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 21, 2026
Closed: Sep 21, 8:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Vanshelboim and Valerio Bracci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Vanshelboim' if Eric Vanshelboim advances against Valerio Bracci. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Eric Vanshelboim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Vanshelboim and Valerio Bracci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Vanshelboim' if Eric Vanshelboim advances against Valerio Bracci. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Eric Vanshelboim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to gauge public sentiment and identify potential value, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Vanshelboim vs Bracci match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, making it a transparent and efficient way to assess the market's expectations. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Eric Vanshelboim and Valerio Bracci. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or significant shifts in public opinion could drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements and making informed trading decisions.