TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Bellifemine and Samuele Seghetti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Bellifemine' if Alessandro Bellifemine advances against Samuele Seghetti. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Seghetti' if Samuele Seghetti advances against Alessandro Bellifemine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Bellifemine and Samuele Seghetti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Bellifemine' if Alessandro Bellifemine advances against Samuele Seghetti. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Seghetti' if Samuele Seghetti advances against Alessandro Bellifemine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or even expert forecasts. However, differences can arise due to varying levels of information and the incentives of participants in each venue. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Alessandro Bellifemine and Samuele Seghetti. This includes confirming the winner of the match according to official tournament records. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis suggesting a change in either player’s strategy, could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the match could also play a role, particularly if there is a significant shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.