TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 1:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodenas and Ioannis Xilas in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Ioannis Xilas. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Pedro Rodenas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodenas and Ioannis Xilas in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Ioannis Xilas. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Pedro Rodenas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in house biases and public perception. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome, leading to odds that may be more accurate, especially as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets are driven by information and analysis rather than profit margins.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the aggregated forecast of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share, and thus, their assessment of the probability of the event happening.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rodenas vs Xilas match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts and commentators could also impact the market, as traders incorporate new information into their forecasts. Significant shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market, as traders react to broader market movements.