TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Regas Luis and Xavi Palomar in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Regas Luis' if Noah Regas Luis advances against Xavi Palomar. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Noah Regas Luis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Regas Luis and Xavi Palomar in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Regas Luis' if Noah Regas Luis advances against Xavi Palomar. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Noah Regas Luis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the M25 Sabadell match between Noah Regas Luis and Xavi Palomar. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to stay informed about the progress of the event and its potential impact on the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could temporarily impact the price, although the market tends to self-correct over time as more information becomes available. Monitoring tennis news and expert analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.