TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 11:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Ortega Redondo and Deni Hadzialijagic in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Ortega Redondo' if Miguel Ortega Redondo advances against Deni Hadzialijagic. This market will resolve to 'Deni Hadzialijagic' if Deni Hadzialijagic advances against Miguel Ortega Redondo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Ortega Redondo and Deni Hadzialijagic in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Ortega Redondo' if Miguel Ortega Redondo advances against Deni Hadzialijagic. This market will resolve to 'Deni Hadzialijagic' if Deni Hadzialijagic advances against Miguel Ortega Redondo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sabadell tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Polymarket, and the market will remain open for trading until the event concludes. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadell tennis match between Miguel Ortega Redondo and Deni Hadzialijagic, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings of shares representing the correct outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes might also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, general tennis news, analysis from experts, and even large individual trades on Polymarket could all contribute to changes in the odds for the Sabadell tennis match before it resolves.