TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Pedro Rodenas in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michiel De Krom' if Michiel De Krom advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Michiel De Krom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Pedro Rodenas in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michiel De Krom' if Michiel De Krom advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Michiel De Krom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional methods, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event. The current volume traded provides an indication of how much interest there is in different potential results of the M25 Sabadell tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sabadell tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Pedro Rodenas, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the results against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is reacting to new information as the Sep 30, 2026 approaches.