TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Roberto Perez socas in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Roberto Perez socas. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Perez socas' if Roberto Perez socas advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Roberto Perez socas in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Roberto Perez socas. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Perez socas' if Roberto Perez socas advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional betting venues, especially for niche events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is the one that traders collectively believe is most likely to happen in the Sabadell tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Roberto Perez socas, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Sep 29, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and drive price fluctuations within this market.