TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Gerard Campana Lee in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Gerard Campana Lee. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Gerard Campana Lee in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Gerard Campana Lee. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket; there are no external factors influencing the pricing process. This allows for a dynamic and responsive market that can quickly incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadell tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Gerard Campana Lee. The platform will verify the winner against established tennis results databases and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The outcome will be determined by which player ultimately wins the match, as officially recorded by the tournament organizers. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments in their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. For example, if one player withdraws from a prior match due to injury, it would likely increase the odds of their opponent winning this market. Significant changes in weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could cause movement in the market.