TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Sander Jong in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Sander Jong. This market will resolve to 'Sander Jong' if Sander Jong advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Sander Jong in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Sander Jong. This market will resolve to 'Sander Jong' if Sander Jong advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the difference. However, it’s important to consider factors like liquidity and transaction costs when evaluating such opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential results of the Sabadell tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadell tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Sander Jong. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will ultimately be settled, as the final score will dictate the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the Oct 3, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Sabadell contest might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, potentially driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.