TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of Lilian Marmousez or Luka Talan Lopatic winning the Sabadell tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadell tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Luka Talan Lopatic, as determined by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will be the outcome reflected in the resolution of this market. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines for event resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Sabadell tennis match could also impact perceptions of the players’ overall chances. Even significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could trigger movement in the market as traders adjust their positions based on new information. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning are likely to affect this market.