TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonid Sheyngezikht and Marc Ros Mesas in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonid Sheyngezikht' if Leonid Sheyngezikht advances against Marc Ros Mesas. This market will resolve to 'Marc Ros Mesas' if Marc Ros Mesas advances against Leonid Sheyngezikht. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonid Sheyngezikht and Marc Ros Mesas in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonid Sheyngezikht' if Leonid Sheyngezikht advances against Marc Ros Mesas. This market will resolve to 'Marc Ros Mesas' if Marc Ros Mesas advances against Leonid Sheyngezikht. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadell tennis match between Leonid Sheyngezikht and Marc Ros Mesas. The platform will verify the match result against reliable sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by well-informed traders could also cause the odds to change, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.