TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Garcia Gomez and Luis Garcia Paez in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Garcia Gomez' if Hugo Garcia Gomez advances against Luis Garcia Paez. This market will resolve to 'Luis Garcia Paez' if Luis Garcia Paez advances against Hugo Garcia Gomez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Garcia Gomez and Luis Garcia Paez in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Garcia Gomez' if Hugo Garcia Gomez advances against Luis Garcia Paez. This market will resolve to 'Luis Garcia Paez' if Luis Garcia Paez advances against Hugo Garcia Gomez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is visible on the dashboard, and traders can adjust their positions based on their own analysis and insights. The market’s price is entirely driven by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadell tennis match between Hugo Garcia Gomez and Luis Garcia Paez. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could also drive price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports analysis, may also play a role in shaping market expectations.