TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guillem Reyes Gallego and Fermin Barcala Lopez in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guillem Reyes Gallego' if Guillem Reyes Gallego advances against Fermin Barcala Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Barcala Lopez' if Fermin Barcala Lopez advances against Guillem Reyes Gallego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guillem Reyes Gallego and Fermin Barcala Lopez in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guillem Reyes Gallego' if Guillem Reyes Gallego advances against Fermin Barcala Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Barcala Lopez' if Fermin Barcala Lopez advances against Guillem Reyes Gallego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks primarily focus on implied probabilities based on statistical models and public betting patterns, this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time sentiment. This can include local knowledge, polling data, and even qualitative factors not easily quantifiable by traditional bookmakers. Discrepancies may arise due to differing information sources and the unique dynamics of each market, but both aim to forecast the most likely outcome of the Sabadell mayoral election.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Sabadell mayoral election are verifiable from credible public reporting. The candidate who receives the most votes, as declared by the relevant electoral authority, will be considered the winner. The resolution will be based on the official count and any subsequent legal challenges that definitively determine the elected mayor. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 27, 2026. Key events include the release of new polling data, major campaign announcements, and any significant endorsements from influential figures. Unexpected scandals or controversies involving either candidate could also lead to substantial shifts in the market. Furthermore, changes in voter sentiment, as reflected in social media or local news coverage, could impact trading activity and adjust the perceived probabilities of each candidate winning the Sabadell mayoral election.