TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Perez Mora and Kuzma Avdeev in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Perez Mora' if Benjamin Perez Mora advances against Kuzma Avdeev. This market will resolve to 'Kuzma Avdeev' if Kuzma Avdeev advances against Benjamin Perez Mora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Perez Mora and Kuzma Avdeev in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Perez Mora' if Benjamin Perez Mora advances against Kuzma Avdeev. This market will resolve to 'Kuzma Avdeev' if Kuzma Avdeev advances against Benjamin Perez Mora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is Benjamin Perez Mora winning.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sabadell tennis match between Benjamin Perez Mora and Kuzma Avdeev. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ current form, recent match results, or potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, particularly if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Furthermore, any significant changes in public perception or betting activity could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.