TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Kuzma Avdeev in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Kuzma Avdeev. This market will resolve to 'Kuzma Avdeev' if Kuzma Avdeev advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Kuzma Avdeev in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Kuzma Avdeev. This market will resolve to 'Kuzma Avdeev' if Kuzma Avdeev advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Garcia Carbajal vs Avdeev match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of traders, and the closer the event gets, the more the price should converge towards the true probability of the outcome, as new information becomes available and is incorporated by market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sabadell match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Kuzma Avdeev. The platform will verify the result against established sporting news sources and official tournament records to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Alejandro Garcia Carbajal or Kuzma Avdeev could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning could lead to price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information.