TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Alex Blanchar in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Alex Blanchar. This market will resolve to 'Alex Blanchar' if Alex Blanchar advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Alex Blanchar in the M25 Sabadell, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Alex Blanchar. This market will resolve to 'Alex Blanchar' if Alex Blanchar advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Garcia Carbajal vs Blanchar match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sabadell match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Alex Blanchar. The platform will verify the winner according to official tournament records and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity will be key to understanding potential catalysts.