TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre Delage and Maximilian Figl in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Delage' if Pierre Delage advances against Maximilian Figl. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Pierre Delage. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre Delage and Maximilian Figl in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Delage' if Pierre Delage advances against Maximilian Figl. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Pierre Delage. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual predictions, may reveal different probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where public perception diverges from expert opinion. Tracking these differences can be insightful for those seeking an edge in their own predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price will fluctuate based on new information, betting activity, and overall sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Rabat tennis match will be used to determine the winning share. The platform will rely on official match results to settle the market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event unfolds. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, reflecting the actual outcome of the competition.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, and even weather forecasts for the match location could all contribute to price fluctuations. A strong showing by one player in another tournament, or a surprising upset in a related event, could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential market movements.