TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Maxence Rivet in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petros Tsitsipas' if Petros Tsitsipas advances against Maxence Rivet. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Petros Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Maxence Rivet in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petros Tsitsipas' if Petros Tsitsipas advances against Maxence Rivet. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Petros Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team or player statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares directly reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Tsitsipas vs Rivet match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Rabat tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Maxence Rivet, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Tsitsipas or Rivet, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the M25 Rabat tournament, or even the surface conditions of the court, might also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances of winning will likely cause movement in this market.