TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 1:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg. This market will resolve to 'Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg' if Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg. This market will resolve to 'Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg' if Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies. Analyzing this difference can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it doesn't guarantee a profitable outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment. The current price reflects the aggregated views of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Rabat tennis match between Max Houkes and Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the event will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.