TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 2:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ioannis Xilas and Idriss Haddouch in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Ioannis Xilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ioannis Xilas and Idriss Haddouch in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Ioannis Xilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how public perception differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not easily quantifiable. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more even split, it suggests traders believe the sportsbook is underestimating the other player's chances. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the wisdom of the crowd effect influencing this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ioannis Xilas vs Idriss Haddouch match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ioannis Xilas vs Idriss Haddouch match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analyses, can also contribute to price movements in this market. Major upsets in related matches could also impact trader confidence and lead to adjustments in share prices.