TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frazier Rengifo and Maximilian Markov in the M25 Rabat, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frazier Rengifo' if Frazier Rengifo advances against Maximilian Markov. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Markov' if Maximilian Markov advances against Frazier Rengifo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frazier Rengifo and Maximilian Markov in the M25 Rabat, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frazier Rengifo' if Frazier Rengifo advances against Maximilian Markov. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Markov' if Maximilian Markov advances against Frazier Rengifo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering odds that are more aligned with the true probabilities as perceived by a diverse group of participants. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest and information available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Frazier Rengifo will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Maximilian Markov. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Frazier Rengifo and Maximilian Markov, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner of the Rabat boxing match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight’s location or rules could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, as can any late-breaking analysis from boxing experts. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either fighter’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.