TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Barcala Lopez and Idriss Haddouch in the M25 Rabat, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Barcala Lopez' if Fermin Barcala Lopez advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Fermin Barcala Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Barcala Lopez and Idriss Haddouch in the M25 Rabat, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Barcala Lopez' if Fermin Barcala Lopez advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Fermin Barcala Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to take opposing positions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, as they reveal where the crowd believes there might be value or mispricing relative to the sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rabat tennis match between Fermin Barcala Lopez and Idriss Haddouch. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available sources, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about the players' preparation or strategies could also impact the market. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the resolution of the Rabat tennis match.