TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diogo Morais and Melvin Vix in the M25 Rabat, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Melvin Vix. This market will resolve to 'Melvin Vix' if Melvin Vix advances against Diogo Morais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diogo Morais and Melvin Vix in the M25 Rabat, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Melvin Vix. This market will resolve to 'Melvin Vix' if Melvin Vix advances against Diogo Morais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome increases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the match's potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Rabat tennis match, determining which player has won. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts predicting a certain outcome, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term volatility, as others react to their actions and adjust their own positions.