TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Antoni Fabre and Iannis Miletich in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antoni Fabre' if Antoni Fabre advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Antoni Fabre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Antoni Fabre and Iannis Miletich in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antoni Fabre' if Antoni Fabre advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Antoni Fabre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to consider both sources of information when making predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions shift regarding the match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Antoni Fabre versus Iannis Miletich tennis match in Rabat. This includes verifying the winner of the match against official tournament results and reporting. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, updates on head-to-head records or recent performance in similar tournaments could cause the market to react. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move the market.