TOTAL VOLUME:
$140.6b
24H VOL:
$179,658,703
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,543,053,589
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,379,190
430,096
Markets across
33,549
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,839
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Ye Hongyu and Shaoyun Liu in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against Shaoyun Liu. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Ye Hongyu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ye Hongyu and Shaoyun Liu in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against Shaoyun Liu. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Ye Hongyu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Qian Daohu Ye Hongyu vs Shaoyun Liu match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Qian Daohu Ye Hongyu vs Shaoyun Liu match will be determined based on the official results declared by the event organizers. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded outcome of the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or strategic adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or the players’ preparation could also cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might impact perceptions of the players’ overall capabilities, leading to adjustments in the market price. Public opinion and expert analysis could also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory.