TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niccolo Catini and Filippo Mazzola in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Catini' if Niccolo Catini advances against Filippo Mazzola. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Niccolo Catini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niccolo Catini and Filippo Mazzola in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Catini' if Niccolo Catini advances against Filippo Mazzola. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Niccolo Catini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the event's likelihood. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing the overall probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly adjusting to new information and changing perceptions about the Pozzuoli M25 match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Niccolo Catini vs Filippo Mazzola match in the M25 Pozzuoli tournament. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive their payouts based on the final result and their positions in the market. It is important to note that the resolution process is dependent on the availability of official and verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift attention and influence trading behavior. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could create short-term volatility. Overall, any information that alters the assessment of Niccolo Catini’s or Filippo Mazzola’s chances of winning the Pozzuoli M25 match has the potential to move this market.