TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Melios Efstathiou and Fabrizio Andaloro in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melios Efstathiou' if Melios Efstathiou advances against Fabrizio Andaloro. This market will resolve to 'Fabrizio Andaloro' if Fabrizio Andaloro advances against Melios Efstathiou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Melios Efstathiou and Fabrizio Andaloro in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melios Efstathiou' if Melios Efstathiou advances against Fabrizio Andaloro. This market will resolve to 'Fabrizio Andaloro' if Fabrizio Andaloro advances against Melios Efstathiou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by users freely trading their perspectives. If sportsbook odds indicate a strong favorite, it will be interesting to observe whether this market shows a similar bias, or if traders believe there’s value in the underdog. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the fighters’ capabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the M25 Pozzuoli match. The outcome will be determined by whether Melios Efstathiou wins, Fabrizio Andaloro wins, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about fighter weight or physical condition could also be significant catalysts. Public analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.