TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateja Stanisavljevic and Giuseppe Caparco in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateja Stanisavljevic' if Mateja Stanisavljevic advances against Giuseppe Caparco. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe Caparco' if Giuseppe Caparco advances against Mateja Stanisavljevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateja Stanisavljevic and Giuseppe Caparco in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateja Stanisavljevic' if Mateja Stanisavljevic advances against Giuseppe Caparco. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe Caparco' if Giuseppe Caparco advances against Mateja Stanisavljevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and to balance their risk, whereas this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there is significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner of the Pozzuoli M25 boxing match. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pozzuoli M25 boxing match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each boxer winning, as traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Pozzuoli M25 boxing match. This includes determining which fighter is declared the winner according to the official rules of the bout. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value, based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries could significantly shift expectations. Public statements from trainers or the fighters themselves, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also impact the market. Unexpected changes in betting odds at sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning the Pozzuoli M25 boxing match has the potential to move this market.