TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Sardo and Riccardo Donato Logrippo in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Sardo' if Gabriel Sardo advances against Riccardo Donato Logrippo. This market will resolve to 'Riccardo Donato Logrippo' if Riccardo Donato Logrippo advances against Gabriel Sardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Sardo and Riccardo Donato Logrippo in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Sardo' if Gabriel Sardo advances against Riccardo Donato Logrippo. This market will resolve to 'Riccardo Donato Logrippo' if Riccardo Donato Logrippo advances against Gabriel Sardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It's common to observe discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks might be over or underestimating probabilities for the Sardo vs Logrippo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sardo vs Logrippo match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The platform uses this dynamic pricing to determine the implied probability of each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sardo vs Logrippo match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or changes to the event schedule.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to the Sep 13, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Gabriel Sardo or Riccardo Donato Logrippo, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather conditions affecting the match, or even shifts in public sentiment could also cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the event could lead to increased trading volume and price volatility in this market.