TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Pecorini and luca Giordano in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Pecorini' if Filippo Pecorini advances against luca Giordano. This market will resolve to 'luca Giordano' if luca Giordano advances against Filippo Pecorini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Pecorini and luca Giordano in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Pecorini' if Filippo Pecorini advances against luca Giordano. This market will resolve to 'luca Giordano' if luca Giordano advances against Filippo Pecorini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Pozzuoli M25 race. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the market participants, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Pozzuoli M25 race, as announced by race organizers, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the results against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final, confirmed outcome of the race.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding the participating racers, such as injuries, changes in training regimens, or performance in prior events, could shift the odds. Weather conditions on race day will also be a significant factor, as they can heavily impact racer performance. Unexpected announcements related to the race route or regulations could also introduce volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the racers’ chances of winning has the potential to move this market.