TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 8:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Mazzola and Filippo Moroni in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Filippo Moroni. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Filippo Mazzola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Mazzola and Filippo Moroni in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Filippo Moroni. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Filippo Mazzola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a competitor in the Pozzuoli M25 race, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as the market incorporates diverse perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome for the Pozzuoli M25 race. As more people buy shares in a competitor, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, and the market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Pozzuoli M25 race, determining which competitor achieved the fastest time. The platform will verify the results against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the race.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the Pozzuoli M25 race takes place. Any news regarding competitor fitness, training progress, or past performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on race day might also impact expectations, as could announcements about course changes or competitor strategies. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also lead to price movements in this market, as traders react to evolving information.