TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 8:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Aidan Mchugh in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Aidan Mchugh. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mchugh' if Aidan Mchugh advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Aidan Mchugh in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Aidan Mchugh. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mchugh' if Aidan Mchugh advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals trading based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public opinion. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of the M25 Pozzuoli boxing match.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Sep 15, 2026, following the completion of the M25 Pozzuoli boxing match. The outcome will be determined by the official result announced by the relevant boxing authorities. Once the official result is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting, the market will be settled accordingly. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either boxer, Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei or Aidan Mchugh, such as injury reports or training updates, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also affect trading volume and price movements. Unexpected announcements related to the fight’s logistics, such as venue changes or scheduling adjustments, could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.